Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 16.960780 19.673109 22.616813 26.040938 29.905989 34.125048 39.070275
2025-08-03 12.388266 16.112201 20.554270 26.203778 33.153942 41.378280 51.795800
2025-08-10 9.424067 13.451937 18.634056 25.700934 34.984742 46.652008 62.292697
2025-08-17 7.398203 11.449703 17.011808 25.055412 36.210846 50.931510 71.579454
2025-08-24 5.909329 9.846495 15.577839 24.309331 37.005467 54.477620 79.945536
2025-08-31 4.701927 8.408063 14.110586 23.229927 37.078369 56.874923 86.741839
2025-09-07 4.109980 7.811815 13.784116 23.733475 39.398161 62.502650 98.352006
2025-09-14 3.607820 7.268379 13.444668 24.134269 41.535175 67.944996 109.978544
2025-09-21 3.056086 6.536471 12.682855 23.737262 42.339251 71.379221 118.763163
2025-09-28 2.567238 5.829674 11.857624 23.114570 42.676298 74.052178 126.475387
2025-10-05 2.462700 5.849668 12.322174 24.749338 46.858024 83.021796 144.485384
2025-10-12 2.321846 5.770355 12.585891 26.035862 50.522616 91.350370 161.900298
2025-10-19 2.088422 5.483926 12.472648 26.724336 53.389814 98.863200 178.979415
2025-10-26 1.819797 5.075259 12.077117 26.866856 55.354531 105.102845 194.549545
2025-11-02 1.533653 4.562590 11.388565 26.348775 56.047229 109.194368 206.759884
2025-11-09 1.283530 4.078141 10.679344 25.688406 56.383081 112.642824 218.029868
2025-11-16 1.067775 3.628062 9.969536 24.925843 56.423362 115.522458 228.425228
2025-11-23 0.868179 3.167923 9.155053 23.822640 55.657529 116.832537 236.050755
2025-11-30 0.783743 3.021934 9.075151 24.337294 58.220072 124.498050 255.579207
2025-12-07 0.704273 2.870779 8.957435 24.746908 60.587434 131.922189 275.040134
2025-12-14 0.600935 2.612916 8.518147 24.341164 61.169413 135.910933 288.281351
2025-12-21 0.504497 2.348244 8.012271 23.704729 61.177802 138.747505 299.461602
2025-12-28 0.496814 2.403544 8.413058 25.375473 66.459810 152.435774 332.152371